Pre Fed Gap up 20 points

Well we have a 20 point gap up before the open. Fed meeting at 2:00.

The roller coaster will be leaving the station soon.

We have had some prettty large volume going through these past days and today could be the same.

We have some price divergence on the RSI.

Close the gap, rally big off the rate cut news and wathc the US currency dive.

Lehmans next with $5 a gallon soon

Well Bear Stearns was saved, Lehmans lost 25% of their value in one day and gasoline could be $5.00 a gallon before labor day.

Seems like this could be a long hot summer.

Some are calling this a bottom. Looks to me like we have been thrown a rope, to hang on to be hanged on. We shall see

Gold hit $1,033, Oil $112 Dollar dives

The Fed announced two initiatives designed to bolster market liquidity and promote orderly market functioning, and approved the JP Morgan - Bear Stearns deal. First, they authorized the Federal Reserve Bank of New York to create a lending facility to improve the ability of primary dealers to provide financing to participants in securitization markets.

It is available today, and will be in place for at least six months and may be extended as conditions warrant. Credit extended to primary dealers under this facility may be collateralized by a broad range of investment-grade debt securities.

Second, the Federal Reserve Board decreased the primary credit rate ("Discount Rate") from 3.5% to 3.25%. Lastly, the Board also approved the financing arrangement announced by JPMorgan Chase and Bear Stearns where Bear is being purchased for 1% of its value only 16 days ago! Tomorrow, the FOMC will meet, and obviously the odds that the Fed will cut the Fed Funds rate by 1.0% have increased. Mortgage prices are really a mixed bag ("where should they be priced?") with the 10-yr down to 3.41% currently.

SP 500 Head and Shoulders March 17

Daily SP 500 March 16 after Fed

Watch out, today could be the next Black Monday.

This has some support but would it hold. Heard a very interesting conversation that Since the Fed has made funds available to the trading houses that they are shorting their own stocks.

Good to know they can borrow the money to short their own stocks considering how poorly they are doing with the Sub prime.

Crash Levels

Well if JP Morgan picks up Bear Stearns for $2 a share there will be a few rather pissed off billionaires who have just lost a couple hundred billion dollars.

I am expecting crash levels of:
1249
1212.50
1182.50

This is quite a volital time, be prepared to see big swings on News.

Trade what you see.

Please save our company Mr. Bernanke, Please

Monday I expect to see the market plummet.

U.S. stocks plunged for a third day, the dollar sank to the weakest level ever against the euro and to a 12-year low versus the yen and gold surged to a record $1,009 an ounce. Crude oil for April delivery fell after touching $111 a barrel yesterday, the highest since trading began in 1983. As mentioned earlier.....inflation, inflation, inflation.

JPMorgan Chase and the New York Fed agreed to provide funding to Bear Stearns as the securities firm said its cash position has ``significantly deteriorated.'' Bear said it was in talks with New York-based JPMorgan Chase ``regarding permanent funding or other alternatives.'' The Fed agreed to provide financing through JPMorgan for up to 28 days. A collapse of Bear Stearns would be the biggest failure of a U.S. financial institution since the insolvency of Continental Illinois National Bank and Trust Co. in 1984. LET EM GO! get a correction in here and lets end this pain.


Falling property values has made it difficult for homeowners to refinance even as Fed policy makers slashed the target rate for overnight bank lending by 2.25 percentage points since September to stimulate economic growth and bank lending. Expect the criteria for underwriting to be severe. Bye bye to stated loans.