The euro moved lower vis-à-vis the U.S. dollar today as the single currency tested bids around the US$ 1.4320 level and was capped around the $1.4390 level. Data released in the U.S. today saw July personal income growth at 0.0%, up from June’s revised -1.1% decline. July personal spending printed at +0.2%, down from June’s revised print of +0.6%. Also, the July personal consumption expenditures deflator was off 0.8% y/y, worse than the 0.4% June reading. At the core level, the July core rate up 0.1% m/m and 1.4% y/y. Finally, the University of Michigan consumer sentiment indicator came in at 65.7, above the prior mid-August reading of 63.2 but below the July reading of 66.0. The common currency failed to sustain its gains through the North American session as U.S. equity prices retreated in the session. St. Louis Fed President Bullard was on the wires earlier and dovishly said the Fed needs to see much more “convincing” economic data before contemplating an increase in rates. In eurozone news, the European Commissions’s economic sentiment indicator improved to 80.6 from a reading of 76 in July. Many economists believe the eurozone economy will expand around 0.5% q/q in the third quarter. Bundesbank reported German banks expect a modest increase in lending volumes in the second half of 2009 and in 2010, corroborating the central bank’s assessment there is no credit crunch in the eurozone’s largest economy. German Chancellor Merkel today reported the German economy might contract 5% or 6% in 2009. Euro bids are cited around the US$ 1.3900 figure.
¥/ CNY
The yen appreciated vis-à-vis the U.S. dollar today as the greenback tested bids around the ¥93.40 level and was capped around the ¥94.05 level. All eyes are focused on this weekend’s general election in Japan where the long-incumbent Liberal Democratic Party looks poised to lose its stronghold on power to the Democratic Party of Japan. Some Japan-watchers believe this will result in increased Japanese government bond issuance to finance the expected increase in public works spending. It is unclear how a DPJ victory would impact the yen. Japan is expected to battle deflation through early 2012 and will need all the help it can get from its slumping export sector through a weaker yen. Many data were released in Japan overnight. First, the July unemployment rate rose to 5.7% from 5.4 in June, the largest print since World War II and significantly above expectations. Second, the July nationwide consumer price index was off 0.3% m/m and off 2.2% y/y with the core rate off 0.2% m/m and 2.2% y/y. The Tokyo-area August consumer price index was up +0.3% m/m and +0.1% y/y with the core component flat m/m and off 0.2% y/y. Other data saw July all household spending off 2.0% y/y while the trade surplus for the first ten days in August printed at ¥48.08 billion, off 69.2% y/y. The Nikkei 225 stock index climbed 0.57% to close at ¥10,534.14. U.S. dollar offers are cited around the ¥104.15 level. The euro moved higher vis-à-vis the yen as the single currency tested offers around the ¥135.00 figure and was supported around the ¥134.00 figure. The British pound moved higher vis-à-vis the yen as sterling tested offers around the ¥153.60 level while the Swiss franc moved higher vis-à-vis the yen and tested offers around the ¥88.90 level. In Chinese news, the U.S. dollar lost ground vis-à-vis the Chinese yuan as the greenback closed at CNY 6.8256 in the over-the-counter market, down from CNY 6.8273. Chinese Premier Wen this week said the markets need to avoid being “blindly optimistic” about the global economic recovery and added China must maintain its “moderately loose” monetary policy and “active” fiscal policy. PBoC has reported it will ensure “reasonable and ample” liquidity.




Technical Outlook at 1230 GMT (EDT + 0400)

(Bid Price) (Today’s Intraday Range)

EUR/ USD 1.4371 1.4388, 1.4324
USD/ JPY 93.60 94.06, 93.40
GBP/ USD 1.6305 1.6380, 1.6260
USD/ CHF 1.0561 1.0617, 1.0538
AUD/USD 0.8443 0.8469, 0.8375
USD/CAD 1.0831 1.0893, 1.0790
NZD/USD 0.6867 0.6892, 0.6840
EUR/ JPY 134.47 135.00, 134.03
EUR/ GBP 0.8813 0.8829, 0.8774
GBP/ JPY 152.54 153.61, 151.96
CHF/ JPY 88.58 88.91, 88.20


Support Resistance Support Resistance

EUR/ USD USD/ JPY


L1. 1.3780 1.4295 90.05 98.85
L2. 1.3605 1.4630 88.60 101.65
L3. 1.3400 1.5105 87.10 105.05

GBP/ USD USD/ CHF

L1. 1.5845 1.6495 1.0510 1.1165
L2. 1.5690 1.6740 1.0275 1.1270
L3. 1.5440 1.6830 0.9750 1.1555

AUD/ USD USD/ CAD

L1. 0.7715 0.8250 1.1340 1.1920
L2. 0.7440 0.8555 1.1130 1.2190
L3. 0.7165 0.9050 1.0725 1.2520


NZD/ USD EUR/ JPY

L1. 0.6190 0.6665 125.65 134.50
L2. 0.6020 0.6945 121.70 139.80
L3. 0.5655 0.7760 118.50 141.50

EUR/ GBP EUR/ CHF

L1. 0.8320 0.8770 1.4905 1.5380
L2. 0.7870 0.9080 1.4670 1.5580
L3. 0.7590 0.9355 1.4420 1.5880

GBP/ JPY CHF/ JPY

L1. 146.10 157.75 81.55 93.55
L2. 142.05 160.30 79.20 97.90
L3. 135.70 167.30 75.40 105.05




SCHEDULE


Wednesday, 26 August 2009
all times GMT
(last release in parentheses)

0030 Australia Q2 construction work done
0100 Australia August DEWR skilled vacancies (-1.7% m/m)
0500 Japan August small business confidence (41.1)
0800 Germany August Ifo business sentiment, expectations (90.4)
0800 Germany August Ifo, business climate (87.3)
0800 Germany August Ifo, current assessment (84.3)
1100 US MBA mortgage applications (5.6%)
1230 US July durable goods orders (-2.5%)
1230 US July durable goods orders, ex-transportation (1.1%)
1400 US July new home sales (384,000)
1400 US July new home sales (11.0% m/m
1600 France July total jobseekers
1600 US Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta President Lockhart speaks
2245 NZ July trade balance

Thursday, 27 August 2009
all times GMT
(last release in parentheses)

N/A Eurozone August Ifo business climate survey
N/A Germany August consumer price index (0.0% m/m)
N/A Germany August consumer price index (-0.5% y/y)
N/A Germany August CPI, harmonized (-0.1% m/m)
N/A Germany August CPI, harmonized (-0.7% y/y)
0000 Australia June leading index (-0.1%)
0130 Australia Q2 private capital expenditure (-8.9%)
0610 Germany September GfK consumer confidence survey (3.5)
0800 Italy August PMI, retail (45.6)
0800 France August PMI, retail (46.0)
0800 Germany August PMI, retail (49.8)
0800 Eurozone August PMI, retail (47.3)
0800 Eurozone July M3 money supply (3.5% y/y)
0830 UK Q2 total business investment (-7.6% q/q)
0830 UK Q2 total business investment (-9.7% y/y)
1000 UK CBI quarterly distributive trades (-17)
1230 US Q2 gross domestic product, annualized (-1.0%0
1230 US Q2 personal consumption expenditure, core (2.0% q/q)
1230 US Q2 gross domestic product price index (0.2%)
1230 US Weekly initial jobless claims (576,000)
1230 US Continuing jobless claims (6.241 million)
2100 US Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis President Bullard speaks
2245 NZ July building permits (-9.5% m/m)
2301 UK August GfK consumer confidence (-25)
2315 Japan August PMI, manufacturing (50.4)
2330 Japan July jobless rate (5.4%)
2330 Japan July household spending (0.2% y/y)
2330 Japan August Tokyo-area consumer price index (-1.8% y/y)
2330 Japan August Tokyo-area CPI, ex-food, energy (-1.1% y/y)
2330 Japan July national consumer price index (-1.8% y/y)
2330 Japan July national CPI, ex-food, energy (-0.7% y/y)

Friday, 28 August 2009
all times GMT
(last release in parentheses)

0300 NZ July M3 money supply (2.7% y/y)
0830 UK Q2 gross domestic product (-0.8% q/q)
0830 UK Q2 gross domestic product (-5.6% y/y)
0900 Italy July producer price index
0900 Eurozone August economic confidence (76.0)
0900 Eurozone August business climate indicator (-2.71)
0900 Eurozone August consumer confidence (-23)
0900 Eurozone August industrial confidence (-30)
0900 Eurozone August services confidence (-18)
0930 CH August KOF leading indicator (-0.99)
1230 US July personal income (-1.3%)
1230 US July personal spending (0.4%)
1230 US July CPE deflator (-0.4% y/y)
1230 US July CPE, core (0.2% m/m)
1230 US July PCE, core (1.5% y/y)
1230 Canada Q2 current account (-C$ 9.1 billion)
1230 Canada July industrial product prices (0.7% m/m)
1230 Canada July raw materials price index (6.2% m/m)
1400 US August University of Michigan consumer sentiment (63.2)


DISCLAIMER: GCI’s Daily Market Commentary is provided for informational purposes only. The information contained in these reports is gathered from reputable news sources and is not intended to be used as investment advice. GCI assumes no responsibility or liability from gains or losses incurred by the information herein contained.

S&P 500 Day Trading Course Gap for Aug 27, 2009 Learn How to Trade

Trading opened today at 1024.25, just 2.75 points below yesterday's 1027.00 close. We hit both our low (1020.25) and our high (1032.00) before 11am market time today. The rest of the day consolidated into a 4 point range between 1028.00 and 1024.00, piercing a few times but never with enough momentum to break out of the congestion.

The day closed at 1026.75, after trading an 11.75 point range through the day. The gap of 1027.00 was closed shortly after 10am this morning.

The large price jump you see in the chart from 10 to 11am is contributed to by stronger than expected U.S. durable orders, as well as improved U.S. consumer confidence numbers that were released this morning.

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S&P 500 Day Trading Course Gagp For Aug 26, 2009 Learn How to Trade

Trading opened today at 1030.00, up 4.25 points from yesterday's close. Early morning yielded us our high of 1038.00, then meandered a bit back and forth. This afternoon brought us our low of 1024.75, as well as our close of 1027.00.

Today's range came in at 13.25 points total with a close of 1027.00, 3 points down from open.

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S&P 500 Day Trading Course Gap for Aug 25, 2009 Learn How to Trade

Trading opened today at 1029.25, up 4.25 points from Friday's 1025.00 close. Prices did a small run up this morning to the 1034.00 level, where they hit resistance and the high of 1035.00, then consolidated in about a 3 point range until about 12:30pm market time.

Prices turned and dropped this afternoon back into the 1020's, with a low of 1021.25 and closing trading today at 1025.25. Today's range was 13.75 points while the gap of 1025.00 was filled.

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S&P 500 Emini Day Trading Gap Monday August 24, 2009

S&P 500 Emini Day Trading Gap Monday August 24, 2009

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S&P 500 Day Trading Course Gap for Aug 24, 2009 Learn How to Trade

Trading opened today at 1013.75, 7 points up from yesterday's 1006.75 close. The morning gave us yet another quick touch to our bottom (1010.50), then consolidated until 10am. Better than 40,000 contracts in a minute would give prices the push they needed to break through resistance and fly to new highs.

After this push however, prices consolidated again in a tight 2.5 point range piercing a couple times but not getting the steam required to move again until after the 3 o'clock hour. We hit our high of 1027.00 in the last 30 min of trading today, then relaxed to a record close for '09 at 1025.50.

Our trading range today was a decent 15.25 points, although most of it occurred in a very small part of the day. Blink and you could have missed it! Today's gap as yesterday's, was left behind unfilled at 1006.75.

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S&P 500 Day Trading Course Gap for Aug 21, 2009 Learn How to Trade

Today trading opened at 996.25, only 1 point up from yesterday's close of 995.25. We had another up day today closing the gap and hitting our low of 994.25 only minutes after open, then turning and moving up from there.

Mid day left us in a 3 point range of consolidation from 1001.75 to 1004.75, until we broke through resistance and headed to our intraday high of 1007.75 roughly 15 or so minutes before close. Close came in at 1006.25, giving us a daily range of 10 points and an intraday range of 13.5 points.

Let's see what tomorrow brings, see you at the starting lines!

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S&P 500 Day Trading Course Gap for Aug 20, 2009 Learn How to Trade

With an open of 978.25 only 1 tick away from the gap this morning we quickly touched it and TOOK OFF! Climbing 17 points from open to close today and an overall range of 20.75 points, we had a day to go long.

The low came in at 978.00 which was our gap for the day, and the high 998.75 came close but could not break resistance at the 999.25 level. Trading closed today at 995.25.

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S&P 500 Day Trading Course Gap for Aug 19, 2009 Learn How to Trade

Today's open came in at 980.75, up 2.25 points from yesterday's 978.50 close. Trading to our low of 979.00 around 10am market time we didn't manage to close today's gap. From there we moved up for the rest of the day, our high hitting 990.00 a couple times and then moving in to close a few points lower at 987.00.

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S&P 500 Day Trading Course Gap for Aug 18, 2009 Learn How to Trade

A solid gap down today opening at 984.25, 18.5 points from Friday's 1002.75 close. We opened only to immediately hit the high of 985.00, then started our morning decent into a 4 or so point area of consolidation between 982.25 and 978.25 for the remainder of the day. We did pierce it a couple times, one bringing us our low today at 976.50.

Today's close was 978.50 after trading a congested 8.5 point range for the day. Our gap from Friday was left unfilled, up at 1002.75.

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S&P 500 Day Trading Course Gap for Aug 17, 2009 Learn How to Trade

Bit of a dip today, opening at 1010.25 we opened at our close from yesterday. From open we instantly hit our high of 1011.50, then moved down for the entire morning dropping 18 points from open to our low of 992.25 before lunch.

Our intraday range today came in at a respectable 19.25 points, while our gap of 1010.25 was closed on opening. Have a great weekend!

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S&P 500 Day Trading Course Gap for Aug 14, 2009 Learn How to Trade

Hello Money Makers! Today we traded what turned out to be a sideways day again. We did have some good chances for some 4pt, 5pt, and even better trades (which I hope we all caught), but at the end of the day our open of 1008.25 and our close of 1010.25 end up only being 2 points apart.

Our 1012.00 high and 998.00 low did offer us a decent 14 point range in which to make some moves, as well as took care of our 1003.50 gap from yesterday's trading.

Have a good day trading tomorrow as we head into another weekend!

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diverging topside wedge, learn to trade S&P 500 emini futures

http://www.moneymakeredge.com/blog showing the elliot wave and a diverging wedge for the resistance on the bear trend we are in. Break to new highs or retrace to lower levels.

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S&P 500 Day TRading Course Gap- for Aug 13, 2009 Learn How to Trade

What a day today! Not what some were expecting, but then again what is that saying about assumptions?? We opened at 990.75, not really going anywhere from yesterday's 992.50 close. Within minutes we hit our low of 990.50, filled the gap and continued up, up, up, and up.

We hit our high of 1011.25 this afternoon and closed back down a little at 1003.50. giving us a daily range today of 20.75 points! A full retracement of our overnight 1011.00 high from the 11th. It also closed our Aug 11 open gap at 1005.50.

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S&P 500 Day Trading Course Gap for Aug 12, 2009 Learn How to Trade

Today the market relaxed from its recent climb up opening at 1000.75, down 4.75 points from yesterday's 1005.50 close. Trading took us to an immediate high of 1001.75 then continued to relax to a low of 990.00 where it hit support and consolidated for the remainder of the day and closed at 992.50.
Today's trading gave us an overall range of 11.75 points from high to low and left our gap open at 1005.50.

Let's see if this retracement continues tomorrow, with a break through support at 990 our next level of major support is in the 982.00 area. We could see another drop in trading tomorrow, results from Fed's minutes and Treasury budget scheduled for tomorrow may have an effect. Then again.... maybe not. Only one way to find out..... See you at the starting line!

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SP 500 day trading course Aug 11

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S&P 500 Day Trading Course Gap For Aug 11, 2009 Learn How to Trade

Open today came in at 1003.00, down 4 points from Friday's 1007.00 close. Today was mostly consolidated hitting a high of 1007.75 and a low of 998.25, leaving us a range of 9.5 points.

Today we closed trading at 1005.50, making only 2.5 points gain from open. Today's 1007.00 gap from Friday was filled.

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Trading Day Friday, August 7th

Hello Traders, Today was a nice up day on the market. Started with a 10 point gap to the upside to open at 1005. Only filled part of the gap and made its low within the first few minutes at 999.50. Moved up from there a good part of the day to reach at high at 1016. Sold off part of that to closed at 1007. Over all the volume was a bit higher at 1.97 million contracts. That is higher than the average over the last few months. Hope you have a great weekend and we will see what Monday brings.
LauraQ


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Trading Day Thursday, August 6th

Hello Traders, Well today was an interesting day in the market. We started with a 4 point gap up to open at 1004.50 and within a few minutes reached the high of the day at 1005.75. It then went back to fill the gap and then some which eventually led to the low at 989.75. Developed a downtrend on the 5 min chart and closed still in that trend at 994.50. If you will look at a 60 minute chart it has closed below the 100 moving average that has been acting as support for the last few weeks. Tomorrow Unemployment figures are released before open so we will see how the market reacts to those. Have a good trading day.
LauraQ


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Trading Day Wednesday, August 5th

Hello Traders, Wow can any say "seesaw"? Down, up and down. Well today opened within 3ticks of yesterdays close at 1003.25 and immediately filled the tiny gap. Also continued on down to hit the low at 991.25. Hovered there a bit and came all the way back to within 1 tick of the high at 1004 just to sell into the close to end the day at 999.75. That's about a 13 point trading range on the day. Looking at a 60 minute chart it has not broken thru its 100 simple moving average that has acted as support for the last couple of weeks. We shall see what tomorrow brings. Take care out there and remember to always use stops.
LauraQ

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Trading Day Tuesday, August 4th

Hi Traders! Well today was a bit squirrely. A little down, a little up and mostly sideways. Started the day with a 4 point gap down at 995.50. Got to the low in the first 5 minutes at 993.25. Turned and headed up on a nice uptrend to reach the high at 1004. Retraced a little and made a decending triangle just to break to the upside and ended the day near the high at 1002.50. Just over 10 points in the trading range today. We will see what tomorrow brings. Have a good one!
LauraQ


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Trading Day Monday, August 3rd

Hello Traders, Just an up, up and away Monday today. Opened with a full 10 point gap at 994 and retraced just to 988.75 which was also the low of the day. Then just kept marching its way up to hit the high at 1001. Took just a little bit of a dip and closed at 999.75. It has been a while since we have been at the 1000 mark. We will see what tomorrow brings. Remember to always trade with stops.
LauraQ

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